Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 6.874313 7.570149 8.324111 9.204778 10.209022 11.322959 12.658214
2025-12-28 6.346112 7.361339 8.538529 10.016889 11.841502 14.043075 16.936442
2026-01-04 5.787844 6.947701 8.354873 10.212138 12.636082 15.745573 20.125958
2026-01-11 5.198526 6.399811 7.907166 9.973111 12.788583 16.579987 22.231709
2026-01-18 4.916147 6.195091 7.851055 10.203201 13.545162 18.265622 25.714941
2026-01-25 4.541467 5.828373 7.536351 10.032573 13.701251 19.091660 28.017921
2026-02-01 4.238633 5.528864 7.279587 9.905280 13.885990 19.954114 30.474022
2026-02-08 3.967309 5.249542 7.023844 9.747148 13.993618 20.689471 32.806745
2026-02-15 3.716658 4.980228 6.759271 9.546807 14.005207 21.256055 34.912649
2026-02-22 3.535003 4.796212 6.602771 9.492608 14.235039 22.196502 37.830243
2026-03-01 3.300749 4.521147 6.292447 9.171497 13.991834 22.289012 39.135337
2026-03-08 3.055132 4.216152 5.918909 8.721898 13.490761 21.866897 39.344775
2026-03-15 2.888208 4.025172 5.715687 8.545758 13.465006 22.344106 41.577221
2026-03-22 2.945662 4.175423 6.047912 9.276312 15.105047 26.154601 51.792663
2026-03-29 2.874454 4.122307 6.053861 9.453405 15.758488 28.141258 58.370689
2026-04-05 2.727082 3.941833 5.843192 9.236894 15.648676 28.554808 61.217644
2026-04-12 2.675744 3.910194 5.872663 9.445303 16.374814 30.825353 69.377259
2026-04-19 2.558789 3.767115 5.708464 9.290766 16.366264 31.490810 73.385966
2026-04-26 2.457315 3.644277 5.571341 9.175430 16.424584 32.313228 78.058742
2026-05-03 2.357739 3.519969 5.424979 9.032093 16.410360 32.964560 82.405342
2026-05-10 2.257998 3.391090 5.264212 8.850404 16.297949 33.366880 86.099241
2026-05-17 2.186580 3.306357 5.175781 8.801233 16.465119 34.476954 92.427458
2026-05-24 2.080084 3.158440 4.969563 8.509751 16.075720 34.137395 93.753654